Modeling climate change impacts on overwintering of Spodoptera exigua Hübner in regions of China

Inferential models are usually used to evaluate the effect of winter warming on range expansion of insects. Generally, correlative approaches used to predict changes in the distributions of organisms are based on the assumption that climatic boundaries are fixed. Spodoptera exigua Htibner (Lepidopte...

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Autores principales:	Zheng,Xia-Lin, Huang,Qing-Cheng, Cao,Wan-Zheng, Lu,Wen, Wang,Guo-Quan, Yu,Shu-Zhong, Yang,Zhen-De, Wang,Xiao-Ping
Lenguaje:	English
Publicado:	Instituto de Investigaciones Agropecuarias, INIA 2015
Materias:	Global warming integrated pest management overwintering regions population density range distribution
Acceso en línea:	http://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0718-58392015000400009
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spelling	oai:scielo:S0718-583920150004000092018-10-01Modeling climate change impacts on overwintering of Spodoptera exigua Hübner in regions of ChinaZheng,Xia-LinHuang,Qing-ChengCao,Wan-ZhengLu,WenWang,Guo-QuanYu,Shu-ZhongYang,Zhen-DeWang,Xiao-Ping Global warming integrated pest management overwintering regions population density range distribution Inferential models are usually used to evaluate the effect of winter warming on range expansion of insects. Generally, correlative approaches used to predict changes in the distributions of organisms are based on the assumption that climatic boundaries are fixed. Spodoptera exigua Htibner (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae) overwinters as larvae or pupae in China regions. To understand the climate change impacts on overwintering of this species in regions of China, CLIMEX and Arc-GIS models were used to predict possible changes of distribution based on temperature. The climate change projection clearly indicated that the northern boundary of overwintering for S. exigua will shift northward from current distribution. Thus, the ongoing winter warming is likely to increase the frequency of S. exigua outbreaks.info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessInstituto de Investigaciones Agropecuarias, INIAChilean journal of agricultural research v.75 n.3 20152015-09-01text/htmlhttp://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0718-58392015000400009en10.4067/S0718-58392015000400009
institution	Scielo Chile
collection	Scielo Chile
language	English
topic	Global warming integrated pest management overwintering regions population density range distribution
spellingShingle	Global warming integrated pest management overwintering regions population density range distribution Zheng,Xia-Lin Huang,Qing-Cheng Cao,Wan-Zheng Lu,Wen Wang,Guo-Quan Yu,Shu-Zhong Yang,Zhen-De Wang,Xiao-Ping Modeling climate change impacts on overwintering of Spodoptera exigua Hübner in regions of China
description	Inferential models are usually used to evaluate the effect of winter warming on range expansion of insects. Generally, correlative approaches used to predict changes in the distributions of organisms are based on the assumption that climatic boundaries are fixed. Spodoptera exigua Htibner (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae) overwinters as larvae or pupae in China regions. To understand the climate change impacts on overwintering of this species in regions of China, CLIMEX and Arc-GIS models were used to predict possible changes of distribution based on temperature. The climate change projection clearly indicated that the northern boundary of overwintering for S. exigua will shift northward from current distribution. Thus, the ongoing winter warming is likely to increase the frequency of S. exigua outbreaks.
author	Zheng,Xia-Lin Huang,Qing-Cheng Cao,Wan-Zheng Lu,Wen Wang,Guo-Quan Yu,Shu-Zhong Yang,Zhen-De Wang,Xiao-Ping
author_facet	Zheng,Xia-Lin Huang,Qing-Cheng Cao,Wan-Zheng Lu,Wen Wang,Guo-Quan Yu,Shu-Zhong Yang,Zhen-De Wang,Xiao-Ping
author_sort	Zheng,Xia-Lin
title	Modeling climate change impacts on overwintering of Spodoptera exigua Hübner in regions of China
title_short	Modeling climate change impacts on overwintering of Spodoptera exigua Hübner in regions of China
title_full	Modeling climate change impacts on overwintering of Spodoptera exigua Hübner in regions of China
title_fullStr	Modeling climate change impacts on overwintering of Spodoptera exigua Hübner in regions of China
title_full_unstemmed	Modeling climate change impacts on overwintering of Spodoptera exigua Hübner in regions of China
title_sort	modeling climate change impacts on overwintering of spodoptera exigua hübner in regions of china
publisher	Instituto de Investigaciones Agropecuarias, INIA
publishDate	2015
url	http://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0718-58392015000400009
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Modeling climate change impacts on overwintering of Spodoptera exigua Hübner in regions of China

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