Validation of the FALL3D model for the 2008 Chaitén eruption using field and satellite data

The 2008 Chaitén Volcano eruption began on 2 May 2008 with an explosive phase that injected large amounts of tephra into the atmosphere. During the first week of the eruption, volcanic ash clouds were transported for hundreds of kilometres over Argentina by the prevailing westerly winds. Tephra depo...

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Autores principales: Osores,María Soledad, Folch,Arnau, Collini,Estela, Villarosa,Gustavo, Durant,Adam, Pujol,Gloria, Viramonte,José G
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Servicio Nacional de Geología y Minería (SERNAGEOMIN) 2013
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Acceso en línea:http://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0718-71062013000200005
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spelling oai:scielo:S0718-710620130002000052013-07-31Validation of the FALL3D model for the 2008 Chaitén eruption using field and satellite dataOsores,María SoledadFolch,ArnauCollini,EstelaVillarosa,GustavoDurant,AdamPujol,GloriaViramonte,José G Chaitén eruption FALL3D model Ash dispersion Ground deposition Granulometry Risk management The 2008 Chaitén Volcano eruption began on 2 May 2008 with an explosive phase that injected large amounts of tephra into the atmosphere. During the first week of the eruption, volcanic ash clouds were transported for hundreds of kilometres over Argentina by the prevailing westerly winds. Tephra deposition extended to the Atlantic Ocean and severely affected the Argentinean Patagonia. Impacts included air and water quality degradation, disruption of ground transportation systems and cancellation of flights at airports more than 1,500 km apart. We use the FALL3D tephra transport model coupled with the Weather Research and Forecasting-Advanced Research Weather (WRF-ARW) meteorological model to simulate tephra fall from the 2-9 May 2008 eruptive period. Our hindcast results are in good agreement with satellite imagery and reproduce ground deposit observations. Key aspects of our analysis, not considered during syn-eruptive forecasts, are the re-initialization of each simulation with actualized meteorological forecast cycles and better constrained model inputs including column heights (inferred from reanalysis of GOES-10 imagery and nearby atmospheric soundings) and granulometric data obtained from field campaigns. This study shows the potential of coupling WRF/ARW and FALL3D models for short-term forecast of volcanic ash clouds. Our results highlight that, in order to improve forecasting of ash cloud dispersion and tephra deposition, it is essential to implement an operational observation system to measure temporal variations of column height and granulometric characteristics of tephra particles in nearly real-time, at proximal as well as distal locations.info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessServicio Nacional de Geología y Minería (SERNAGEOMIN)Andean geology v.40 n.2 20132013-05-01text/htmlhttp://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0718-71062013000200005en10.5027/andgeoV40n2-a05
institution Scielo Chile
collection Scielo Chile
language English
topic Chaitén eruption
FALL3D model
Ash dispersion
Ground deposition
Granulometry
Risk management
spellingShingle Chaitén eruption
FALL3D model
Ash dispersion
Ground deposition
Granulometry
Risk management
Osores,María Soledad
Folch,Arnau
Collini,Estela
Villarosa,Gustavo
Durant,Adam
Pujol,Gloria
Viramonte,José G
Validation of the FALL3D model for the 2008 Chaitén eruption using field and satellite data
description The 2008 Chaitén Volcano eruption began on 2 May 2008 with an explosive phase that injected large amounts of tephra into the atmosphere. During the first week of the eruption, volcanic ash clouds were transported for hundreds of kilometres over Argentina by the prevailing westerly winds. Tephra deposition extended to the Atlantic Ocean and severely affected the Argentinean Patagonia. Impacts included air and water quality degradation, disruption of ground transportation systems and cancellation of flights at airports more than 1,500 km apart. We use the FALL3D tephra transport model coupled with the Weather Research and Forecasting-Advanced Research Weather (WRF-ARW) meteorological model to simulate tephra fall from the 2-9 May 2008 eruptive period. Our hindcast results are in good agreement with satellite imagery and reproduce ground deposit observations. Key aspects of our analysis, not considered during syn-eruptive forecasts, are the re-initialization of each simulation with actualized meteorological forecast cycles and better constrained model inputs including column heights (inferred from reanalysis of GOES-10 imagery and nearby atmospheric soundings) and granulometric data obtained from field campaigns. This study shows the potential of coupling WRF/ARW and FALL3D models for short-term forecast of volcanic ash clouds. Our results highlight that, in order to improve forecasting of ash cloud dispersion and tephra deposition, it is essential to implement an operational observation system to measure temporal variations of column height and granulometric characteristics of tephra particles in nearly real-time, at proximal as well as distal locations.
author Osores,María Soledad
Folch,Arnau
Collini,Estela
Villarosa,Gustavo
Durant,Adam
Pujol,Gloria
Viramonte,José G
author_facet Osores,María Soledad
Folch,Arnau
Collini,Estela
Villarosa,Gustavo
Durant,Adam
Pujol,Gloria
Viramonte,José G
author_sort Osores,María Soledad
title Validation of the FALL3D model for the 2008 Chaitén eruption using field and satellite data
title_short Validation of the FALL3D model for the 2008 Chaitén eruption using field and satellite data
title_full Validation of the FALL3D model for the 2008 Chaitén eruption using field and satellite data
title_fullStr Validation of the FALL3D model for the 2008 Chaitén eruption using field and satellite data
title_full_unstemmed Validation of the FALL3D model for the 2008 Chaitén eruption using field and satellite data
title_sort validation of the fall3d model for the 2008 chaitén eruption using field and satellite data
publisher Servicio Nacional de Geología y Minería (SERNAGEOMIN)
publishDate 2013
url http://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0718-71062013000200005
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