Interseismic deformation at subduction zones investigated by 2D numerical modeling: case study before the 2010 Maule earthquake

We study interseismic deformation preceding the Mw8.8 2010 Maule earthquake by means of two-dimensional finite-element modeling. Our goal is to gain insight into the fundamental factors controlling elastic strain build-up and release in subduction zones, and to evaluate different modeling approaches...

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Autores principales: Contreras,Marcelo, Tassara,Andrés, Gerbault,Muriel, Araya,Rodolfo, Bataille,Klaus
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Servicio Nacional de Geología y Minería (SERNAGEOMIN) 2016
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FEM
Acceso en línea:http://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0718-71062016000300001
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spelling oai:scielo:S0718-710620160003000012016-11-09Interseismic deformation at subduction zones investigated by 2D numerical modeling: case study before the 2010 Maule earthquakeContreras,MarceloTassara,AndrésGerbault,MurielAraya,RodolfoBataille,Klaus Interseismic deformation GPS surface velocity Maule earthquake Stress Subduction FEM We study interseismic deformation preceding the Mw8.8 2010 Maule earthquake by means of two-dimensional finite-element modeling. Our goal is to gain insight into the fundamental factors controlling elastic strain build-up and release in subduction zones, and to evaluate different modeling approaches of surface displacement as observed by GPS. We developed a linear elasticity solver that allows us to implement a realistic subducting plate geometry constrained by geophysical data. We test the influence of subducting plate thickness, variations in the updip and downdip limit of a 100% locked interplate zone, elastic parameters, and velocity reduction at the base of the subducted slab. We compared our modeled predictions with interseismic GPS observations along an EW profile crossing the Maule earthquake rupture area, in order to determine best fitting parameters. Our results indicate little influence of the subducting plate thickness at a given downdip limit, which itself has a strong influence on surface deformation. However, the fit to observations is achieved only after reducing the velocity at the base of the subducted slab below the trench region to 10% of the far-field convergence rate. We link this novel result to complementary numerical models that gradually evolve toward considering longer time-scales and complex rheology in order to evaluate the mechanical meaning of the above mentioned inferred kinematic conditions. This allowed us to link the velocity reduction at the base of subducting slabs with a long-term state of high flexural stress resulting from the mechanical interaction of the slab with the underlying mantle. Even a small amount of theses high deviatoric stresses may transfer towards the upper portion of the slab as strain energy that could participate into the mechanical loading of the megathrust and therefore in triggering large earthquakes there.info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessServicio Nacional de Geología y Minería (SERNAGEOMIN)Andean geology v.43 n.3 20162016-09-01text/htmlhttp://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0718-71062016000300001en10.5027/andgeoV43n3-a01
institution Scielo Chile
collection Scielo Chile
language English
topic Interseismic deformation
GPS surface velocity
Maule earthquake
Stress
Subduction
FEM
spellingShingle Interseismic deformation
GPS surface velocity
Maule earthquake
Stress
Subduction
FEM
Contreras,Marcelo
Tassara,Andrés
Gerbault,Muriel
Araya,Rodolfo
Bataille,Klaus
Interseismic deformation at subduction zones investigated by 2D numerical modeling: case study before the 2010 Maule earthquake
description We study interseismic deformation preceding the Mw8.8 2010 Maule earthquake by means of two-dimensional finite-element modeling. Our goal is to gain insight into the fundamental factors controlling elastic strain build-up and release in subduction zones, and to evaluate different modeling approaches of surface displacement as observed by GPS. We developed a linear elasticity solver that allows us to implement a realistic subducting plate geometry constrained by geophysical data. We test the influence of subducting plate thickness, variations in the updip and downdip limit of a 100% locked interplate zone, elastic parameters, and velocity reduction at the base of the subducted slab. We compared our modeled predictions with interseismic GPS observations along an EW profile crossing the Maule earthquake rupture area, in order to determine best fitting parameters. Our results indicate little influence of the subducting plate thickness at a given downdip limit, which itself has a strong influence on surface deformation. However, the fit to observations is achieved only after reducing the velocity at the base of the subducted slab below the trench region to 10% of the far-field convergence rate. We link this novel result to complementary numerical models that gradually evolve toward considering longer time-scales and complex rheology in order to evaluate the mechanical meaning of the above mentioned inferred kinematic conditions. This allowed us to link the velocity reduction at the base of subducting slabs with a long-term state of high flexural stress resulting from the mechanical interaction of the slab with the underlying mantle. Even a small amount of theses high deviatoric stresses may transfer towards the upper portion of the slab as strain energy that could participate into the mechanical loading of the megathrust and therefore in triggering large earthquakes there.
author Contreras,Marcelo
Tassara,Andrés
Gerbault,Muriel
Araya,Rodolfo
Bataille,Klaus
author_facet Contreras,Marcelo
Tassara,Andrés
Gerbault,Muriel
Araya,Rodolfo
Bataille,Klaus
author_sort Contreras,Marcelo
title Interseismic deformation at subduction zones investigated by 2D numerical modeling: case study before the 2010 Maule earthquake
title_short Interseismic deformation at subduction zones investigated by 2D numerical modeling: case study before the 2010 Maule earthquake
title_full Interseismic deformation at subduction zones investigated by 2D numerical modeling: case study before the 2010 Maule earthquake
title_fullStr Interseismic deformation at subduction zones investigated by 2D numerical modeling: case study before the 2010 Maule earthquake
title_full_unstemmed Interseismic deformation at subduction zones investigated by 2D numerical modeling: case study before the 2010 Maule earthquake
title_sort interseismic deformation at subduction zones investigated by 2d numerical modeling: case study before the 2010 maule earthquake
publisher Servicio Nacional de Geología y Minería (SERNAGEOMIN)
publishDate 2016
url http://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0718-71062016000300001
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