Do psychological barriers exist in Latin American stock markets?

Abstract: We examine for the first time the major stock markets of eight Latin American countries for indication of psychological barriers at round numbers. We test for uniformity in the trailing digits of the indices and use regression and GARCH analysis to assess the differential impact of being a...

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Autores principales: Lobão,Júlio, Fortuna,Natércia, Silva,Franklin
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: ILADES. Universidad Alberto Hurtado. 2020
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Acceso en línea:http://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0718-88702020000200029
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spelling oai:scielo:S0718-887020200002000292020-10-26Do psychological barriers exist in Latin American stock markets?Lobão,JúlioFortuna,NatérciaSilva,Franklin Latin American markets psychological barriers stock market indices market psychology round numbers Abstract: We examine for the first time the major stock markets of eight Latin American countries for indication of psychological barriers at round numbers. We test for uniformity in the trailing digits of the indices and use regression and GARCH analysis to assess the differential impact of being above or below a possible barrier. The Chilean stock market seems to be significantly different from its counterparts as it is the only one that showed virtually no signs of psychological barriers. There is mild to strong evidence of barriers in the remaining markets. These findings challenge the notion that most Latin American markets are unpredictable and lend credit to the claim that technical analysis strategies can be useful in some of these markets.info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessILADES. Universidad Alberto Hurtado.Revista de análisis económico v.35 n.2 20202020-10-01text/htmlhttp://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0718-88702020000200029en10.4067/S0718-88702020000200029
institution Scielo Chile
collection Scielo Chile
language English
topic Latin American markets
psychological barriers
stock market indices
market psychology
round numbers
spellingShingle Latin American markets
psychological barriers
stock market indices
market psychology
round numbers
Lobão,Júlio
Fortuna,Natércia
Silva,Franklin
Do psychological barriers exist in Latin American stock markets?
description Abstract: We examine for the first time the major stock markets of eight Latin American countries for indication of psychological barriers at round numbers. We test for uniformity in the trailing digits of the indices and use regression and GARCH analysis to assess the differential impact of being above or below a possible barrier. The Chilean stock market seems to be significantly different from its counterparts as it is the only one that showed virtually no signs of psychological barriers. There is mild to strong evidence of barriers in the remaining markets. These findings challenge the notion that most Latin American markets are unpredictable and lend credit to the claim that technical analysis strategies can be useful in some of these markets.
author Lobão,Júlio
Fortuna,Natércia
Silva,Franklin
author_facet Lobão,Júlio
Fortuna,Natércia
Silva,Franklin
author_sort Lobão,Júlio
title Do psychological barriers exist in Latin American stock markets?
title_short Do psychological barriers exist in Latin American stock markets?
title_full Do psychological barriers exist in Latin American stock markets?
title_fullStr Do psychological barriers exist in Latin American stock markets?
title_full_unstemmed Do psychological barriers exist in Latin American stock markets?
title_sort do psychological barriers exist in latin american stock markets?
publisher ILADES. Universidad Alberto Hurtado.
publishDate 2020
url http://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0718-88702020000200029
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AT fortunanatercia dopsychologicalbarriersexistinlatinamericanstockmarkets
AT silvafranklin dopsychologicalbarriersexistinlatinamericanstockmarkets
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