A study of virtual design and construction implementation and benefits using a bayesian approach

Practitioners and construction management researchers lack believable and practical methods to assess the value proposition of emerging methods such as Virtual Design and Construction (VDC) including understanding how different levels of implementation affect its benefits. Furthermore, current metho...

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Autores principales:	Rischmoller,L, Fischer,M, Kunz,J
Lenguaje:	English
Publicado:	Escuela de Construcción Civil, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile 2012
Materias:	Bayes Bayesian VDC Construction Management 3D 4D
Acceso en línea:	http://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0718-915X2012000300007
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spelling	oai:scielo:S0718-915X20120003000072013-11-06A study of virtual design and construction implementation and benefits using a bayesian approachRischmoller,LFischer,MKunz,J Bayes Bayesian VDC Construction Management 3D 4D Practitioners and construction management researchers lack believable and practical methods to assess the value proposition of emerging methods such as Virtual Design and Construction (VDC) including understanding how different levels of implementation affect its benefits. Furthermore, current methods of understanding VDC implementation and benefits cannot be updated easily to incorporate new data. This paper presents a Bayesian framework to predict benefits from application of Virtual Design and Construction (VDC) given data about its implementation. We analyzed data from 40 projects that performed some formal modeling of the project scope and/or the construction process. The analysis suggests that more extensive or higher levels of VDC implementation lead to higher project benefits. We explain the use of a Bayesian framework as an alternative to the application of classical probability theory to construction management research, how we used it to interpret data about VDC practice and outcomes, our finding that benefits have strong positive contingent correlation with the level of VDC implemented on projects, and our suggestion to use the method to update conclusions about benefits given changing data about implementation and outcomes.info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessEscuela de Construcción Civil, Pontificia Universidad Católica de ChileRevista de la construcción v.11 n.3 20122012-12-01text/htmlhttp://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0718-915X2012000300007en10.4067/S0718-915X2012000300007
institution	Scielo Chile
collection	Scielo Chile
language	English
topic	Bayes Bayesian VDC Construction Management 3D 4D
spellingShingle	Bayes Bayesian VDC Construction Management 3D 4D Rischmoller,L Fischer,M Kunz,J A study of virtual design and construction implementation and benefits using a bayesian approach
description	Practitioners and construction management researchers lack believable and practical methods to assess the value proposition of emerging methods such as Virtual Design and Construction (VDC) including understanding how different levels of implementation affect its benefits. Furthermore, current methods of understanding VDC implementation and benefits cannot be updated easily to incorporate new data. This paper presents a Bayesian framework to predict benefits from application of Virtual Design and Construction (VDC) given data about its implementation. We analyzed data from 40 projects that performed some formal modeling of the project scope and/or the construction process. The analysis suggests that more extensive or higher levels of VDC implementation lead to higher project benefits. We explain the use of a Bayesian framework as an alternative to the application of classical probability theory to construction management research, how we used it to interpret data about VDC practice and outcomes, our finding that benefits have strong positive contingent correlation with the level of VDC implemented on projects, and our suggestion to use the method to update conclusions about benefits given changing data about implementation and outcomes.
author	Rischmoller,L Fischer,M Kunz,J
author_facet	Rischmoller,L Fischer,M Kunz,J
author_sort	Rischmoller,L
title	A study of virtual design and construction implementation and benefits using a bayesian approach
title_short	A study of virtual design and construction implementation and benefits using a bayesian approach
title_full	A study of virtual design and construction implementation and benefits using a bayesian approach
title_fullStr	A study of virtual design and construction implementation and benefits using a bayesian approach
title_full_unstemmed	A study of virtual design and construction implementation and benefits using a bayesian approach
title_sort	study of virtual design and construction implementation and benefits using a bayesian approach
publisher	Escuela de Construcción Civil, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile
publishDate	2012
url	http://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0718-915X2012000300007
work_keys_str_mv	AT rischmollerl astudyofvirtualdesignandconstructionimplementationandbenefitsusingabayesianapproach AT fischerm astudyofvirtualdesignandconstructionimplementationandbenefitsusingabayesianapproach AT kunzj astudyofvirtualdesignandconstructionimplementationandbenefitsusingabayesianapproach AT rischmollerl studyofvirtualdesignandconstructionimplementationandbenefitsusingabayesianapproach AT fischerm studyofvirtualdesignandconstructionimplementationandbenefitsusingabayesianapproach AT kunzj studyofvirtualdesignandconstructionimplementationandbenefitsusingabayesianapproach
_version_	1714206259454935040

A study of virtual design and construction implementation and benefits using a bayesian approach

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