REVENUE ELASTICITY OF THE MAIN FEDERAL TAXES IN MEXICO

An inelastic tax system increases the uncertainty associated with tax revenue collection. This results in continuous short-term adjustments to maintain the stability of tax collection. In this paper, we estimate the revenue elasticity of the principal taxes in Mexico, finding a much greater elastici...

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Autores principales: Fonseca,Felipe J, Ventosa-Santaularia,Daniel
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile. Instituto de Economía. 2011
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Acceso en línea:http://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0719-04332011000100004
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Sumario:An inelastic tax system increases the uncertainty associated with tax revenue collection. This results in continuous short-term adjustments to maintain the stability of tax collection. In this paper, we estimate the revenue elasticity of the principal taxes in Mexico, finding a much greater elasticity than that found in previous studies. A cointegration model between the revenue and taxes is used which satisfies strong exogeneity, providing a basis for congruent and reliable projections. Using this model, the tax revenue projected for 2011 is much lower than the estimates prepared by Mexico's federal government.