A NOTE ON THE S-CURVE DYNAMICS OF COMMODITY TRADE BETWEEN BRAZIL AND THE UNITED STATES

The S-curve hypothesis postulates that the correlation coefficient between the current exchange rate and past trade balance values may be negative. However, the correlation between the current exchange rate and future values of the trade balance may be positive. Previous research using aggregate tra...

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Autores principales: Bahmani-Oskooee,Mohsen, Xi,Dan
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile. Instituto de Economía. 2015
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Acceso en línea:http://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0719-04332015000100004
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spelling oai:scielo:S0719-043320150001000042015-09-22A NOTE ON THE S-CURVE DYNAMICS OF COMMODITY TRADE BETWEEN BRAZIL AND THE UNITED STATESBahmani-Oskooee,MohsenXi,Dan S-curve industry data Brazil the United States The S-curve hypothesis postulates that the correlation coefficient between the current exchange rate and past trade balance values may be negative. However, the correlation between the current exchange rate and future values of the trade balance may be positive. Previous research using aggregate trade flows between Brazil and rest of the world find weak support for the curve. When we disaggregate Brazil's trade flows with the U.S. and investigate 95 industries that trade between the two countries, we find support for the S-curve in 51 industries. Small and large industries and durable and non-durable commodities are found to benefit from currency devaluation.info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessPontificia Universidad Católica de Chile. Instituto de Economía.Latin american journal of economics v.52 n.1 20152015-05-01text/htmlhttp://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0719-04332015000100004en10.7764/LAJE.52.1.79
institution Scielo Chile
collection Scielo Chile
language English
topic S-curve
industry data
Brazil
the United States
spellingShingle S-curve
industry data
Brazil
the United States
Bahmani-Oskooee,Mohsen
Xi,Dan
A NOTE ON THE S-CURVE DYNAMICS OF COMMODITY TRADE BETWEEN BRAZIL AND THE UNITED STATES
description The S-curve hypothesis postulates that the correlation coefficient between the current exchange rate and past trade balance values may be negative. However, the correlation between the current exchange rate and future values of the trade balance may be positive. Previous research using aggregate trade flows between Brazil and rest of the world find weak support for the curve. When we disaggregate Brazil's trade flows with the U.S. and investigate 95 industries that trade between the two countries, we find support for the S-curve in 51 industries. Small and large industries and durable and non-durable commodities are found to benefit from currency devaluation.
author Bahmani-Oskooee,Mohsen
Xi,Dan
author_facet Bahmani-Oskooee,Mohsen
Xi,Dan
author_sort Bahmani-Oskooee,Mohsen
title A NOTE ON THE S-CURVE DYNAMICS OF COMMODITY TRADE BETWEEN BRAZIL AND THE UNITED STATES
title_short A NOTE ON THE S-CURVE DYNAMICS OF COMMODITY TRADE BETWEEN BRAZIL AND THE UNITED STATES
title_full A NOTE ON THE S-CURVE DYNAMICS OF COMMODITY TRADE BETWEEN BRAZIL AND THE UNITED STATES
title_fullStr A NOTE ON THE S-CURVE DYNAMICS OF COMMODITY TRADE BETWEEN BRAZIL AND THE UNITED STATES
title_full_unstemmed A NOTE ON THE S-CURVE DYNAMICS OF COMMODITY TRADE BETWEEN BRAZIL AND THE UNITED STATES
title_sort note on the s-curve dynamics of commodity trade between brazil and the united states
publisher Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile. Instituto de Economía.
publishDate 2015
url http://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0719-04332015000100004
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