A NOTE ON THE S-CURVE DYNAMICS OF COMMODITY TRADE BETWEEN BRAZIL AND THE UNITED STATES
The S-curve hypothesis postulates that the correlation coefficient between the current exchange rate and past trade balance values may be negative. However, the correlation between the current exchange rate and future values of the trade balance may be positive. Previous research using aggregate tra...
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Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile. Instituto de Economía.
2015
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oai:scielo:S0719-043320150001000042015-09-22A NOTE ON THE S-CURVE DYNAMICS OF COMMODITY TRADE BETWEEN BRAZIL AND THE UNITED STATESBahmani-Oskooee,MohsenXi,Dan S-curve industry data Brazil the United States The S-curve hypothesis postulates that the correlation coefficient between the current exchange rate and past trade balance values may be negative. However, the correlation between the current exchange rate and future values of the trade balance may be positive. Previous research using aggregate trade flows between Brazil and rest of the world find weak support for the curve. When we disaggregate Brazil's trade flows with the U.S. and investigate 95 industries that trade between the two countries, we find support for the S-curve in 51 industries. Small and large industries and durable and non-durable commodities are found to benefit from currency devaluation.info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessPontificia Universidad Católica de Chile. Instituto de Economía.Latin american journal of economics v.52 n.1 20152015-05-01text/htmlhttp://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0719-04332015000100004en10.7764/LAJE.52.1.79 |
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English |
topic |
S-curve industry data Brazil the United States |
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S-curve industry data Brazil the United States Bahmani-Oskooee,Mohsen Xi,Dan A NOTE ON THE S-CURVE DYNAMICS OF COMMODITY TRADE BETWEEN BRAZIL AND THE UNITED STATES |
description |
The S-curve hypothesis postulates that the correlation coefficient between the current exchange rate and past trade balance values may be negative. However, the correlation between the current exchange rate and future values of the trade balance may be positive. Previous research using aggregate trade flows between Brazil and rest of the world find weak support for the curve. When we disaggregate Brazil's trade flows with the U.S. and investigate 95 industries that trade between the two countries, we find support for the S-curve in 51 industries. Small and large industries and durable and non-durable commodities are found to benefit from currency devaluation. |
author |
Bahmani-Oskooee,Mohsen Xi,Dan |
author_facet |
Bahmani-Oskooee,Mohsen Xi,Dan |
author_sort |
Bahmani-Oskooee,Mohsen |
title |
A NOTE ON THE S-CURVE DYNAMICS OF COMMODITY TRADE BETWEEN BRAZIL AND THE UNITED STATES |
title_short |
A NOTE ON THE S-CURVE DYNAMICS OF COMMODITY TRADE BETWEEN BRAZIL AND THE UNITED STATES |
title_full |
A NOTE ON THE S-CURVE DYNAMICS OF COMMODITY TRADE BETWEEN BRAZIL AND THE UNITED STATES |
title_fullStr |
A NOTE ON THE S-CURVE DYNAMICS OF COMMODITY TRADE BETWEEN BRAZIL AND THE UNITED STATES |
title_full_unstemmed |
A NOTE ON THE S-CURVE DYNAMICS OF COMMODITY TRADE BETWEEN BRAZIL AND THE UNITED STATES |
title_sort |
note on the s-curve dynamics of commodity trade between brazil and the united states |
publisher |
Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile. Instituto de Economía. |
publishDate |
2015 |
url |
http://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0719-04332015000100004 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT bahmanioskooeemohsen anoteonthescurvedynamicsofcommoditytradebetweenbrazilandtheunitedstates AT xidan anoteonthescurvedynamicsofcommoditytradebetweenbrazilandtheunitedstates AT bahmanioskooeemohsen noteonthescurvedynamicsofcommoditytradebetweenbrazilandtheunitedstates AT xidan noteonthescurvedynamicsofcommoditytradebetweenbrazilandtheunitedstates |
_version_ |
1714206735644753920 |