Design and analysis of a synthetic prediction market using dynamic convex sets

We present a synthetic prediction market whose agent purchase logic is defined using a sigmoid transformation of a convex semi-algebraic set defined in feature space. Asset prices are determined by a logarithmic scoring market rule. Time varying asset prices affect the structure of the semi-algebrai...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Nishanth Nakshatri, Arjun Menon, C. Lee Giles, Sarah Rajtmajer, Christopher Griffin
Format: article
Language:EN
Published: Elsevier 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doaj.org/article/0371b0eea7d244c1a7354a283dde5f59
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