Forecasting the spread of COVID-19 under different reopening strategies

Abstract We combine COVID-19 case data with mobility data to estimate a modified susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model in the United States. In contrast to a standard SIR model, we find that the incidence of COVID-19 spread is concave in the number of infectious individuals, as would be expecte...

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Autores principales: Meng Liu, Raphael Thomadsen, Song Yao
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2020
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/412bc89f075d4fceb28bfed68ceb49eb
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