Forecasting the spread of COVID-19 under different reopening strategies
Abstract We combine COVID-19 case data with mobility data to estimate a modified susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model in the United States. In contrast to a standard SIR model, we find that the incidence of COVID-19 spread is concave in the number of infectious individuals, as would be expecte...
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| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | article |
| Language: | EN |
| Published: |
Nature Portfolio
2020
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://doaj.org/article/412bc89f075d4fceb28bfed68ceb49eb |
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