Forecasting the spread of COVID-19 under different reopening strategies

Abstract We combine COVID-19 case data with mobility data to estimate a modified susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model in the United States. In contrast to a standard SIR model, we find that the incidence of COVID-19 spread is concave in the number of infectious individuals, as would be expecte...

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Auteurs principaux: Meng Liu, Raphael Thomadsen, Song Yao
Format: article
Langue:EN
Publié: Nature Portfolio 2020
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Accès en ligne:https://doaj.org/article/412bc89f075d4fceb28bfed68ceb49eb
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