Limits of Risk Predictability in a Cascading Alternating Renewal Process Model

Abstract Most risk analysis models systematically underestimate the probability and impact of catastrophic events (e.g., economic crises, natural disasters, and terrorism) by not taking into account interconnectivity and interdependence of risks. To address this weakness, we propose the Cascading Al...

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Autores principales: Xin Lin, Alaa Moussawi, Gyorgy Korniss, Jonathan Z. Bakdash, Boleslaw K. Szymanski
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2017
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/8180f95868104db69c25cf4d78118e74
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