Machine learning augmented predictive and generative model for rupture life in ferritic and austenitic steels

Abstract The Larson–Miller parameter (LMP) offers an efficient and fast scheme to estimate the creep rupture life of alloy materials for high-temperature applications; however, poor generalizability and dependence on the constant C often result in sub-optimal performance. In this work, we show that...

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Autores principales: Osman Mamun, Madison Wenzlick, Arun Sathanur, Jeffrey Hawk, Ram Devanathan
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Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:e76d63eb1627409782b344abe8ba21472021-12-02T14:25:02ZMachine learning augmented predictive and generative model for rupture life in ferritic and austenitic steels10.1038/s41529-021-00166-52397-2106https://doaj.org/article/e76d63eb1627409782b344abe8ba21472021-04-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41529-021-00166-5https://doaj.org/toc/2397-2106Abstract The Larson–Miller parameter (LMP) offers an efficient and fast scheme to estimate the creep rupture life of alloy materials for high-temperature applications; however, poor generalizability and dependence on the constant C often result in sub-optimal performance. In this work, we show that the direct rupture life parameterization without intermediate LMP parameterization, using a gradient boosting algorithm, can be used to train ML models for very accurate prediction of rupture life in a variety of alloys (Pearson correlation coefficient >0.9 for 9–12% Cr and >0.8 for austenitic stainless steels). In addition, the Shapley value was used to quantify feature importance, making the model interpretable by identifying the effect of various features on the model performance. Finally, a variational autoencoder-based generative model was built by conditioning on the experimental dataset to sample hypothetical synthetic candidate alloys from the learnt joint distribution not existing in both 9–12% Cr ferritic–martensitic alloys and austenitic stainless steel datasets.Osman MamunMadison WenzlickArun SathanurJeffrey HawkRam DevanathanNature PortfolioarticleMaterials of engineering and construction. Mechanics of materialsTA401-492ENnpj Materials Degradation, Vol 5, Iss 1, Pp 1-10 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Materials of engineering and construction. Mechanics of materials
TA401-492
spellingShingle Materials of engineering and construction. Mechanics of materials
TA401-492
Osman Mamun
Madison Wenzlick
Arun Sathanur
Jeffrey Hawk
Ram Devanathan
Machine learning augmented predictive and generative model for rupture life in ferritic and austenitic steels
description Abstract The Larson–Miller parameter (LMP) offers an efficient and fast scheme to estimate the creep rupture life of alloy materials for high-temperature applications; however, poor generalizability and dependence on the constant C often result in sub-optimal performance. In this work, we show that the direct rupture life parameterization without intermediate LMP parameterization, using a gradient boosting algorithm, can be used to train ML models for very accurate prediction of rupture life in a variety of alloys (Pearson correlation coefficient >0.9 for 9–12% Cr and >0.8 for austenitic stainless steels). In addition, the Shapley value was used to quantify feature importance, making the model interpretable by identifying the effect of various features on the model performance. Finally, a variational autoencoder-based generative model was built by conditioning on the experimental dataset to sample hypothetical synthetic candidate alloys from the learnt joint distribution not existing in both 9–12% Cr ferritic–martensitic alloys and austenitic stainless steel datasets.
format article
author Osman Mamun
Madison Wenzlick
Arun Sathanur
Jeffrey Hawk
Ram Devanathan
author_facet Osman Mamun
Madison Wenzlick
Arun Sathanur
Jeffrey Hawk
Ram Devanathan
author_sort Osman Mamun
title Machine learning augmented predictive and generative model for rupture life in ferritic and austenitic steels
title_short Machine learning augmented predictive and generative model for rupture life in ferritic and austenitic steels
title_full Machine learning augmented predictive and generative model for rupture life in ferritic and austenitic steels
title_fullStr Machine learning augmented predictive and generative model for rupture life in ferritic and austenitic steels
title_full_unstemmed Machine learning augmented predictive and generative model for rupture life in ferritic and austenitic steels
title_sort machine learning augmented predictive and generative model for rupture life in ferritic and austenitic steels
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/e76d63eb1627409782b344abe8ba2147
work_keys_str_mv AT osmanmamun machinelearningaugmentedpredictiveandgenerativemodelforrupturelifeinferriticandausteniticsteels
AT madisonwenzlick machinelearningaugmentedpredictiveandgenerativemodelforrupturelifeinferriticandausteniticsteels
AT arunsathanur machinelearningaugmentedpredictiveandgenerativemodelforrupturelifeinferriticandausteniticsteels
AT jeffreyhawk machinelearningaugmentedpredictiveandgenerativemodelforrupturelifeinferriticandausteniticsteels
AT ramdevanathan machinelearningaugmentedpredictiveandgenerativemodelforrupturelifeinferriticandausteniticsteels
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