Machine learning augmented predictive and generative model for rupture life in ferritic and austenitic steels
Abstract The Larson–Miller parameter (LMP) offers an efficient and fast scheme to estimate the creep rupture life of alloy materials for high-temperature applications; however, poor generalizability and dependence on the constant C often result in sub-optimal performance. In this work, we show that...
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2021
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oai:doaj.org-article:e76d63eb1627409782b344abe8ba21472021-12-02T14:25:02ZMachine learning augmented predictive and generative model for rupture life in ferritic and austenitic steels10.1038/s41529-021-00166-52397-2106https://doaj.org/article/e76d63eb1627409782b344abe8ba21472021-04-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41529-021-00166-5https://doaj.org/toc/2397-2106Abstract The Larson–Miller parameter (LMP) offers an efficient and fast scheme to estimate the creep rupture life of alloy materials for high-temperature applications; however, poor generalizability and dependence on the constant C often result in sub-optimal performance. In this work, we show that the direct rupture life parameterization without intermediate LMP parameterization, using a gradient boosting algorithm, can be used to train ML models for very accurate prediction of rupture life in a variety of alloys (Pearson correlation coefficient >0.9 for 9–12% Cr and >0.8 for austenitic stainless steels). In addition, the Shapley value was used to quantify feature importance, making the model interpretable by identifying the effect of various features on the model performance. Finally, a variational autoencoder-based generative model was built by conditioning on the experimental dataset to sample hypothetical synthetic candidate alloys from the learnt joint distribution not existing in both 9–12% Cr ferritic–martensitic alloys and austenitic stainless steel datasets.Osman MamunMadison WenzlickArun SathanurJeffrey HawkRam DevanathanNature PortfolioarticleMaterials of engineering and construction. Mechanics of materialsTA401-492ENnpj Materials Degradation, Vol 5, Iss 1, Pp 1-10 (2021) |
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Materials of engineering and construction. Mechanics of materials TA401-492 |
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Materials of engineering and construction. Mechanics of materials TA401-492 Osman Mamun Madison Wenzlick Arun Sathanur Jeffrey Hawk Ram Devanathan Machine learning augmented predictive and generative model for rupture life in ferritic and austenitic steels |
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Abstract The Larson–Miller parameter (LMP) offers an efficient and fast scheme to estimate the creep rupture life of alloy materials for high-temperature applications; however, poor generalizability and dependence on the constant C often result in sub-optimal performance. In this work, we show that the direct rupture life parameterization without intermediate LMP parameterization, using a gradient boosting algorithm, can be used to train ML models for very accurate prediction of rupture life in a variety of alloys (Pearson correlation coefficient >0.9 for 9–12% Cr and >0.8 for austenitic stainless steels). In addition, the Shapley value was used to quantify feature importance, making the model interpretable by identifying the effect of various features on the model performance. Finally, a variational autoencoder-based generative model was built by conditioning on the experimental dataset to sample hypothetical synthetic candidate alloys from the learnt joint distribution not existing in both 9–12% Cr ferritic–martensitic alloys and austenitic stainless steel datasets. |
format |
article |
author |
Osman Mamun Madison Wenzlick Arun Sathanur Jeffrey Hawk Ram Devanathan |
author_facet |
Osman Mamun Madison Wenzlick Arun Sathanur Jeffrey Hawk Ram Devanathan |
author_sort |
Osman Mamun |
title |
Machine learning augmented predictive and generative model for rupture life in ferritic and austenitic steels |
title_short |
Machine learning augmented predictive and generative model for rupture life in ferritic and austenitic steels |
title_full |
Machine learning augmented predictive and generative model for rupture life in ferritic and austenitic steels |
title_fullStr |
Machine learning augmented predictive and generative model for rupture life in ferritic and austenitic steels |
title_full_unstemmed |
Machine learning augmented predictive and generative model for rupture life in ferritic and austenitic steels |
title_sort |
machine learning augmented predictive and generative model for rupture life in ferritic and austenitic steels |
publisher |
Nature Portfolio |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/e76d63eb1627409782b344abe8ba2147 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT osmanmamun machinelearningaugmentedpredictiveandgenerativemodelforrupturelifeinferriticandausteniticsteels AT madisonwenzlick machinelearningaugmentedpredictiveandgenerativemodelforrupturelifeinferriticandausteniticsteels AT arunsathanur machinelearningaugmentedpredictiveandgenerativemodelforrupturelifeinferriticandausteniticsteels AT jeffreyhawk machinelearningaugmentedpredictiveandgenerativemodelforrupturelifeinferriticandausteniticsteels AT ramdevanathan machinelearningaugmentedpredictiveandgenerativemodelforrupturelifeinferriticandausteniticsteels |
_version_ |
1718391459798843392 |