A simple stochastic model with environmental transmission explains multi-year periodicity in outbreaks of avian flu.
Avian influenza virus reveals persistent and recurrent outbreaks in North American wild waterfowl, and exhibits major outbreaks at 2-8 years intervals in duck populations. The standard susceptible-infected- recovered (SIR) framework, which includes seasonal migration and reproduction, but lacks envi...
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| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Format: | article |
| Language: | EN |
| Published: |
Public Library of Science (PLoS)
2012
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://doaj.org/article/d2f16b8aa2c84852a559994b1fbbc8d9 |
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